Trump threatens additional tariffs and sanctions against Mexico over a water dispute

Picture of By Emmanuel Ademuyiwa
By Emmanuel Ademuyiwa

4 months ago

Trump threatens additional tariffs and sanctions against Mexico over a water dispute
A drone view of El Carrizo dam in Tecate, Mexico, on Mar 21, 2025.

U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened to impose tariffs and sanctions on Mexico, accusing it of failing to meet its obligations under the 1944 Water Treaty. The treaty mandates that Mexico deliver 1.75 million acre-feet of Rio Grande water to the U.S. over a five-year period. Trump claims that Mexico owes Texas 1.3 million acre-feet, alleging that this shortfall has significantly harmed South Texas farmers, especially amid worsening drought conditions.

The president highlighted the recent closure of Texas’s only sugar mill as a consequence of the water shortage and criticized President Joe Biden for not addressing the issue. Trump emphasized that his administration, supported by Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins and Senator Ted Cruz, will escalate consequences—including tariffs and sanctions—if Mexico fails to comply with the treaty.

In response, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum stated that Mexico has been complying with the treaty “to the extent water is available,” citing a three-year drought affecting the region.

The U.S. State Department recently denied Mexico’s request for water from the Colorado River to be delivered to Tijuana, citing continual shortfalls in Mexico’s treaty obligations.

This development comes during the most severe binational water shortage in nearly three decades, raising concerns about the potential impact on U.S.-Mexico relations and the agricultural economy in South Texas.

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Picture of Emmanuel Ademuyiwa
Emmanuel Ademuyiwa

A research sociologist, geopolitical analyst, and writer specializing in global conflict, intelligence, and international power dynamics. As Co-founder and Editor of OpsIntels.com, I deliver timely, evidence-driven reporting that combines accuracy with clarity, keeping readers informed on the forces shaping our world.

Picture of Emmanuel Ademuyiwa
Emmanuel Ademuyiwa

A research sociologist, geopolitical analyst, and writer specializing in global conflict, intelligence, and international power dynamics. As Co-founder and Editor of OpsIntels.com, I deliver timely, evidence-driven reporting that combines accuracy with clarity, keeping readers informed on the forces shaping our world.

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